The "spiral of death" is a new discovery by the American scientists that indicates the imminent stage of death. It is particularly pointed out that regardless of the age range, if one is near death, all abilities will show a sharp decline. Today, the U.S. military has used this new term in the expansion of fleet size.
Roger Wick, chairman of the US Senate Maritime Forces Committee, recently published an article "Against the Negative Impact of Voices on the Construction of a Fleet of 355 Warships," and endorsed the US Navy's "355 warship plan." He quoted naval analysts Robert O'Brien and Jerry Hendrix as saying that our fleet is almost as small as it was before World War I, and that it is rapidly approaching the "spiral of death." Damaged ships are increasingly overloaded and cause unprecedented pressure on the remaining operational warships and sailors who control them.
Is this really the case? Why is the US Navy, which is already ranked first in the world, still not satisfied with the size of its own fleet? What representative advanced technologies will be used for ships to be added to the US Navy fleet in the future? On these issues, the reporter of Science and Technology Daily conducted an exclusive interview with military commentator Li Xiaochuan.
US fleet is not enough to maintain world hegemony
"Obviously speaking, the US Navy ranks first in the world in terms of its fleet size, but in terms of meeting the strategic needs of the United States to maintain its world hegemony, it maintains the so-called important national interests of the United States all over the world, especially in responding to Russia, China, and others. With the rise of regional powers, this scale seems to be insufficient again, said Li Xiaochuan.
According to a report released by the US Congressional Research Institute on the US Navy's military structure and shipbuilding plans on September 22 this year, the US Navy now has a total of 287 major combat ships. The last time the United States Navy had 350 ships was in early 1998, and then fell to 300 or less within five years, to 287 today.
Li Xiaochuan pointed out: "The continuous reduction in the number of US naval vessels has been seen by US President Trump mainly because the adoption of new advanced technologies has resulted in an increase in the cost of each naval vessel, while the Navy's total naval vessel construction expenditure has remained unchanged. The number of warships that can be purchased has decreased, which means that the US Navy’s fleet reduction in these years is not a conscious and conscious change in quantity, but a last resort.â€
So is the current size of the US Navy's fleet really insufficient to carry out missions all over the world?
In this regard, he believes: “Generally speaking, the life cycle of large and medium-sized ships mainly includes three stages of port maintenance or repair, training, and offshore deployment. In other words, the force of a fleet that can deploy to the sea at any time to perform its mission accounts for roughly One-third of the data released by the US Naval official website on November 13 showed that on this day, the US Navy had deployed 101 ships on the sea, with six carriers sailing on the sea. More than one-third also shows that the intensity of US naval vessels is indeed high."
"As a result, the size of the US Navy's existing fleet is really not effective in carrying out missions all over the world. If the fleet size is expanded in the future, it will reduce the number of ship collision incidents, more injuries and more fatal accidents in 2017. 'Obviously there will be some effect,' he said.
The "Spiral of Death" is only for public opinion
At present, the scale of 355 warships commonly mentioned by the media is the long-term goal of the military structure structure for the next 30 years proposed by the US Navy in the "2016 Force Structure Assessment" report completed in December 2016.
If the construction goals of 355 warships can be achieved, this means that by 2046, the US Navy will have the following main battle ships for offshore deployment and support support ships: 12 ballistic missile nuclear submarines, 66 nuclear submarines, nuclear 12 powered aircraft carriers, 104 large surface combat ships (destroyers and cruisers), 52 small surface combat ships (including offshore combat ships, frigates, and mine warships), 38 amphibious ships, and 32 combat support ships. 10 ships, and so on.
However, at this time, the top ranks of the US Navy are obviously not satisfied. Admiral Richardson, US Naval Operations Minister, pointed out that we should bring the number of naval fleets to 355 in the 1920s, not in the 1940s or 50s. Analysts even used the sensational new term “death spiralâ€.
"The 'spiral spiral' problem, at least at this stage, should not exist." In this regard, Li Xiaochuan does not agree. He pointed out that "Overall navies of the world, there are not a few serious problems in the aging of naval architecture than the U.S. Navy. For example, the naval warship problem of Russia's navy is long-standing and more serious, but it has not stepped into the spiral of death. And since the collapse of the Soviet Union more than 10 years ago, it has been recovering from the bottom of a very miserable recession, and for ten years now. From this perspective, the 'death spiral' in the report is actually a false proposition to the US Navy."
"The reason why the US navy proposed the 'death spiral' was that the main purpose was to borrow the many accidents that occurred in the sea since the beginning of this year and to use the news media to raise public opinion about the size of the US Navy’s fleet and fight for a military budget to win the US Congress’s opinion. The 'grandfathers' attention and support for these issues have served the U.S. navy with more services in the military's defense budget 'cakes' for the next few years, he said.
"355 warship plans" is very uncertain
"The US Navy's process of achieving the target of building 355 warships is not only the process of expanding the scale of the force, but also the process of adjusting and optimizing the military structure under the guidance of returning to the ocean control strategy and the concept of distributed warfare," said Li Xiaochuan.
He introduced that the new types of ships currently under development, construction or in service mainly include: A new generation of "Columbia" class ballistic missile nuclear submarines; they will gradually replace active "Ohio" class nuclear submarines from the mid-to late twentieth century; improved "Virginia" Level 3/4/5 attack type nuclear submarines are gradually replacing active “Los Angeles†class nuclear submarines; the new generation of “Ford†class aircraft carriers will gradually replace “Nimitz†class aircraft carriers; the forthcoming “Burke†Class III destroyer will Replaced the active "Ticonderoga" class cruiser and early "Burke" class destroyer, and so on. By 2020, new types of ships that have been or will enter the service of the United States Navy mainly include "Ford" class aircraft carriers, "Virginia" class Block4 nuclear submarines, second and third DDG 1000 destroyers, "Burke" Class III destroyers and New types of frigates developed on the basis of offshore combat ships.
“These advanced ships not only have advanced design concepts, but also widely employ many advanced technologies.†He points out, for example, that A1B nuclear reactors used by Ford class aircraft carriers, electromagnetic catapults, advanced barriers, and joint precision landings and landing technologies; follow-up batches. The tuners used in the Virginia nuclear submarines have multiple payload modules such as vertical launch units, low-resistance composite material podium enclosures, large-aperture conformal sonar arrays, and non-axle propulsion technologies; they are representative advanced technologies used in new-generation destroyers and frigates. The technology will include a ship-wide computing environment, integrated superstructures and aperture structures, unconventional advanced ship types, renewable biofuels, digital array radars, outboard unmanned platform release/recovery, and manned and unmanned equipment coordinated operations.
"The application of these representative technologies to the US Navy's new ships will gradually reveal to us the development direction of US ships in the next 30 years or so." Li Xiaochuan said, "but it should be noted that the scale of 355 ships is after all The 30-year long-term construction goal is very uncertain and will certainly not remain unchanged.For example, the current 355 ships have yet to reflect the position of unmanned equipment, while the current unmanned equipment is widely used on the battlefield. Unmanned has already been 'in the road'." Li Xiaochuan said.
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